Bihar Opinion Polls Show NDA In the Lead at 38%, Mahagathbandhan Follows

NDA is leading the Bihar opinion polls at 38%, while the RJD-Congress Mahagathbandhan is at 32% vote share in the upcoming assembly elections

Raghav N

October 21, 2020

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2 min

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The Bihar Assembly Elections which will be held between October 28 to November 7 paints a clear picture of a major fight largely between the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and the Mahagathbandhan.

Opinion polls are showing the NDA (Bharatiya Janata party, Janata Dal United, Vikashssheel Insaan Party, Hindustani Awam Morcha) leading at 38% vote-share, that is 6% more than the Mahagathbandhan, consisting primarily of the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and the Congress at 32%.

7% is in favour of the Grand Democratic Secular Front (GDSF) which comprises the Upendra Kushwaha led Rashtriya Lok Samta Party (RLSP), Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj party and the All india Majlis-e- Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) under Asaduddin Owaisi.

Chirag Paswan, who walked out from the NDA last minute as he couldn’t see eye to eye with Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, has now independently planted his Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) candidates in constituencies and holds a possible share of 6%.  The 17% that constitutes the ‘others’ section should also not be underestimated.

Compared to the 2015 pre-election predictions that was 43%, this year displays a slightly lower share for the NDA even though it is still in the lead. While the Mahagathbandhan is up by 3%, the JDSF was at 5% five years back. The remaining political parties and alliances have seen a favourable jump in 2020 of 8% as opposed to the 2015 opinion polls.

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